The Signal and the Noise

    The Signal and the Noise

    The Art and Science of Prediction

    Nate Silver

    Allen Lane 2012

    Hardback 542pp

    9781846147524   Product Code: 10906

    Nate Silver, the American statistician who earned acclaim for the accuracy of his 2008 presidential election predictions, describes the 'attitudinal change' by which we can develop better foresight, both at the global level and in our own lives. Studying the different techniques used by hundreds of expert forecasters, he reveals why most predictions fail and uncovers unexpected connections and patterns in areas ranging from the economy and stock markets to the poker table.

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